Gold Rally Fails as US Dollar Lifted by Fed Minutes. Will XAU/USD Gain Support?


  • Gold had a have a look at a topside breakout however was thwarted by the Fed
  • Hawkish FOMC assembly minutes gave yields a lift, lifting USD
  • With giant every day strikes, can XAU/USD ultimately develop a development?

Gold has been caught in US Greenback gyrations to start out the 12 months. Quicker than beforehand anticipated tightening of financial coverage from the Federal Reserve continues to raise charges throughout the curve and this has underpinned the ‘huge greenback’.

The minutes from the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assembly have been launched on Wednesday.

The doc confirmed an inclination from members to think about accelerating the tapering of asset purchases after which to make climbing charges a ‘reside’ choice on the March assembly.

The market is now pricing in a excessive chance of a 25-basis level hike at that date.

The ten-year US Treasury yield hit its highest degree since April final 12 months at 1.71% in a single day. On the identical time, the 2-year bond continues to surge to yields not seen because the pandemic started, buying and selling above 0.83%

As charges go up, holding {dollars} gives a extra engaging funding choice than bullion.

Earlier this week, an funding financial institution cited bitcoin as stealing market share from gold as a spot of saved worth. The 2 have comparable traits as neither supply a return for possession however are considered as a reserve towards the collapse of fiat currencies.

Wanting forward, there’s a plethora of knowledge out of the US right now, together with numbers on commerce, jobs, manufacturing unit orders and sturdy items orders, in addition to the ISM providers index.


Gold has twice failed to beat pivot level resistance at 1834.00 this week. The pivot level was generated by a double high seen in July and September final 12 months and will proceed to supply resistance.

The two latest highs at 1829.68 and 1831.65 would possibly add resistance close to that pivot level. Increased up, the November peak of 1877.15 may supply resistance.

Slightly below the present value, there’s a cluster of brief, medium and long run easy shifting commons (SMA) which are doubtlessly supportive.

Decrease down. help may very well be on the pivot factors and former lows of 1789.57, 1784.92,

1761.99, 1758.93, 1753.10 and 1721.71.


Chart created in TradingView

— Written by Daniel McCarthy, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the feedback part under or @DanMcCathyFX on Twitter


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