Crude Oil Sinks as US Dollar Soars Ahead of OPEC+. Will Supply Tap Out For WTI?

Crude Oil, US Greenback, OPEC+, AUD, NZD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF – Speaking Factors

  • Crude oil costs slipped as USD strengthened amid a bout of danger off
  • APAC equities transferddecrease with Japanese equities main the way in which
  • Vitality commodities preserve elevated volatility. The place to for WTI crude?

Crude oil fell over 3% with the WTI futures contract buying and selling under US$ 76.00 from a detailed in New York of US$ 78.39. The OPEC+ assembly this Thursday will meet to debate ranges of output.

In Asia at the moment, the US Greenback soared in opposition to danger belongings as a brand new pressure of coronavirus has been recognized by the World Well being Organisation.

A number of international locations have banned flights from a quantity African international locations within the south of the continent. That is at a time when the market is trying on the Fed to hurry up the tempo of tapering. These tightening expectations is perhaps reviewed.

G-10 authorities bond yields fell all over the place and throughout all the curve because the market ran for canopy. Property perceived as secure havens have been sought out, as danger aversion took maintain.

USD/JPY is again under 115.00 and USD/CHF additionally went decrease.

The expansion linked Australian Greenback moved decrease regardless of constructive information being launched. Australian retail gross sales got here in at 4.9% for October in opposition to expectations of two.2% and a previous learn of 1.3%. Nonetheless, it wasn’t sufficient to maneuver the dial of the markets’ notion of the RBA’s tightening timeline.

The New Zealand Greenback was additionally below stress regardless that we heard hawkish rhetoric from RBNZ Assistant Governor Christian Hawkesbury.

Equities have been hit laborious with Japanese shares taking the brunt of the stampede for the door. The Nikkei 225 index was down 3% at one stage. The principle indices from Australia, China, Hong Kong, New Zealand and South Korea have been all down round 1 – 2%. US futures are shaping up for a crimson day.

In Asia at the moment, gasoline and heating oil joined crude within the march decrease, however the New York Mercantile pure gasoline contract had a robust rally. Iron ore costs dipped under US$ 80 a tonne on the Dalian commodity alternate. Gold and silver have been little modified.

At this juncture, it’s unclear if this market conniption marks a flip within the tide or a hiccup within the absence of US liquidity. There are a selection of ECB and BoE audio system that shall be hitting the wires later.

Crude Oil Technical Evaluation

Crude oil just lately moved decrease towards an ascending pattern line that presently intersects at 75.45. This could possibly be a assist degree.

The latest low at 74.96 and the 100-day easy transferring common (SMA), presently at 74.42, may also present assist.

On the topside, the latest highs of 79.33 and 81.81 are attainable resistance ranges.


Chart created in TradingView

— Written by Daniel McCarthy, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the feedback part under or @DanMcCathyFX on Twitter


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