Bitcoin’s $6.1 billion options expiry was not enough to break the bearish sentiment

Bitcoin’s (BTC) worth has been ranging between $46,000 and $52,000 for 26 days. Regardless of the massive nominal $6.1 billion year-end choices expiry, the bullish and bearish devices had been evenly balanced between $44,000 and $49,000.

Subsequently, it was no shock that the $47,175 worth at 8:00 am UTC on Dec. 31 introduced little change to the value construction. Even the three% rally to $48,500 following the occasion didn’t maintain itself, signaling that bears are unwilling to cede their higher hand.

Bitcoin/USD worth on Coinbase. Supply: TradingView

Bulls may need interpreted the 9,925 BTC leaving Coinbase in 24 hours as a optimistic set off, contemplating fewer cash can be found on exchanges for newcomers. Moreover, the primary week of the 12 months has been optimistic for the previous 4 years, averaging 18.5% positive aspects for Bitcoin holders.

To additional assist bulls’ thesis, the USA listed tech firm MicroStrategy added one other 1,914 BTC to their stability sheet on Dec. 30. On the unfavorable aspect, regulation continues to strain the markets as South Korean exchanges require customers to confirm their third-party pockets addresses to adjust to the Monetary Motion Activity Pressure (FATF) journey rule tips.

Bitcoin had a stellar 2021 anyway

Whatever the short-term bearishness behind December’s 16% worth drop, Bitcoin continues to vastly outperform each U.S. shares and gold for the third 12 months in a row. But, that efficiency was not sufficient to keep away from each $48,000 and better name (purchase) possibility instrument changing into nugatory because the Dec. 31 expiry worth got here in decrease.

Bitcoin choices combination open curiosity for Dec. 31. Supply: Coinglass.com

At first sight, the $4.0 billion name (purchase) choices vastly outperformed the $2.1 billion put (promote) devices, however the 1.9 call-to-put ratio is misleading as a result of the 16% worth drop from Nov.’s $57,000 shut worn out a lot of the bullish bets. Subsequently, there is no such thing as a worth in the precise to purchase Bitcoin (name possibility) at $50,000 whether it is buying and selling beneath that worth.

Bulls and bears devices had been evenly marched for the Dec. 31 Bitcoin choices expiry, which got here in a lot smaller than anticipated at $660 million. But, bears had been unable to take management as 85% of their bets have been positioned at $47,000 or beneath. Such information partially explains why the Dec. 31 expiry was adopted by an try from bulls to regain momentum.

Will the primary week of 2022 lastly have the ability to revert the marginally unfavorable sentiment that has prevailed because the Dec. 3 crash? Sadly, based on Bitcoin choices markets, there is no such thing as a indication that the tide has modified.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the author and don’t essentially replicate the views of Cointelegraph. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat. You must conduct your individual analysis when making a choice.


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