Australian Dollar Grips On as RBA Delivers on Expectations, Will AUD/USD Rise?

Australian Greenback, AUD/USD, RBA, Yields, Commodities, ASX 200 – Speaking Factors

  • RBA left charges unchanged and maintained the quantity of asset purchases
  • AUD/USD was in a spread within the lead up, softened a contact however stored the road
  • The ASX 200 is decrease on the day, native 10-year yields unchanged at 1.505%

The AUD/USD was little moved on the Reserve Financial institution of Australia’s October financial coverage announcement. It initially fell however steadied round ranges seen simply earlier than the assertion. The central financial institution maintained each the money charge goal and 3-year authorities bond yield goal at 0.10%. It stored the quantity of presidency asset purchases to a charge of AUD 4 billion per week no less than till mid-February 2022.

Right this moment’s announcement is towards a backdrop of hovering power costs that has seen a few of Australia’s exports of coal and liquefied pure fuel (LNG) considerably offset a decrease iron ore worth.

Earlier within the day, Australia’s commerce surplus got here in at AUD 15.8 billion, nicely above the AUD 10 billion the market had anticipated. Previous to that, the financial information launched on the finish of final month confirmed August had comfortable retail gross sales. Nonetheless, constructing approvals have been a lot stronger than anticipated.

The S&P/ASX 200 was decrease previous to the assembly following on from a weak US lead as tech shares took a battering in a single day.

Australian 10-year authorities yields have been at 1.505% and remained unchanged after the RBA announcement. Australian long-term yields had been rising and look like having an affect on AUD/USD. Australia-US authorities bond yield spreads have lately moved in favour of Australian yields at a time when AUD/USD has discovered firmer footing.


Australian Dollar Grips On as RBA Delivers on Expectations, Will AUD/USD Rise?

Chart created in TradingView

With lockdown restrictions about to ease in New South Wales and different states within the months forward, financial exercise for the 4th quarter might be of extra significance to the RBA going ahead.

The central financial institution beforehand commented that the consequences of the present outbreak of the Covid-19 Delta variant is seen by them as a short-term subject for financial disruption. They’re wanting by means of the present episode and count on vaccinations charges to be adequate to re-open your complete Australian financial system by early 2022.

Wanting forward, there’s not a lot home information due till Australian employment figures on Thursday 14th October. The threerd quarter inflation numbers are due for launch on Wednesday October 27th.

— Written by Daniel McCarthy, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the feedback part beneath or @DanMcCathyFX on Twitter


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